The Fight against Polio Is Now a Fight against Time

One of the primary goal of the World Health Organization (WHO) is to rid the world of polio. Some fear that the time to eradicate the disease may be now--or never. When WHO first declared war on polio, forming the Polio Eradication Initiative with partners Rotary International, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and UNICEF (the United Nations Children's Fund) in 1988, there were approximately 350,000 cases of polio in 125 countries on five continents. After an international investment of U.S.$3 billion and the combined efforts of 20 million volunteers in more than 200 countries, just under 700 new cases were reported in 2003, and polio remains endemic in only 6 countries. Yet ultimate victory is at risk.

Polio begins as an intestinal virus. Its usual victims are young children living in unhygienic surroundings, drinking contaminated water. Not everyone who ingests the virus becomes seriously ill; in fact, most have relatively minor flu-like symptoms or none at all. Only the unlucky ones become paralyzed and, in some cases, die.

The original goal of the Polio Eradication Initiative was to wipe out polio worldwide by the year 2000--a goal that proved overly ambitious for several reasons. Polio is not easy to diagnose; many who have it display few signs of illness yet remain contagious for several weeks after all symptoms are gone, and the virus itself can live outside the human body for up to 60 days. By the time one case of polio is confirmed, a multitude of others may be incubating, so that a large number of children over a wide geographic area must be vaccinated in response to a single confirmed case. In addition one vaccination may not be sufficiently prophylactic; a child with an intestinal upset may pass the vaccine through his or her system too quickly for it to be effective. Therefore, repeat vaccinations of all children are necessary.

The cornerstones of the eradication initiative have been national immunization days, during which all young children in a target country are vaccinated whether or not they have been vaccinated before, and immediate response to actual outbreaks, targeting all children under the age of five in the surrounding area for immunization. WHO provides the expertise, UNICEF provides the vaccine, Rotary International provides local advertising and support, and government health officials arrange for the necessary thousands of trained vaccinators. In a representative response to a reported case in Karnataka, India, 4 million children in 13 districts were vaccinated in three days.

At the start of 2007, polio remained endemic only in India, Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Nigeria, with Nigeria representing over 70% of the total number of cases reported worldwide in 2006. The spread of the disease to areas that have reported no cases of infection in recent years is a major concern, because many countries that had eliminated the disease ended their routine immunization programs in order to redirect their limited financial resources to more critical health concerns. Hence the urgency in WHO's push to wipe out the disease once and for all.

The high incidence of polio outbreaks in Nigeria has been traced to the northern state of Kano. Muslim leaders in the area opposed the immunization, in the belief that the vaccine contained hormones that would sterilize the area's female population. As this erroneous information circulated, some parents refused to have their children immunized, and the incidence of new polio cases multiplied. The Nigerian government, however, has confirmed its trust in the purity of the UNICEF-provided vaccine and has publicly reasserted its commitment to the eradication of polio through immunization campaigns. Now it must convince Kano's state and local governments to support that commitment.

The final phase of polio eradication consists of three steps: containment of the remaining chains of polio transmission, certification by independent experts of transmission interruption region by region (and ultimately, worldwide), and development of postcertification policies (determining if there is the need for continuing immunization). Realization of WHO's goal will require the dedicated efforts of government officials in the nations where polio remains endemic and continuing financial help from wealthy nations, several of which have already pledged their assistance. The complete eradication of polio will save millions of children from a devastating disease and will also demonstrate the miracles attainable through global cooperation. The legacy of the world's largest health initiative will include valuable lessons in the fight against other vaccine-preventable diseases, and its success will provide confidence that other, even larger, battles can be won in the 21st century.


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